What share of expiring federal contracts were competed?
79.3% of federal contracts expiring in the next 12 months (94,375 of 119,072) were originally awarded through competition, representing $630.1 billion in contract value.
Source: The Federal Contract Recompete Index, BidSparq
Data as of: October 5, 2026 (refreshed weekly)
Sample: 119,072 expiring federal contracts with award competition codes
License: free to cite with attribution to BidSparq
Verify this yourself: USAspending.gov award data archive (the full federal contract award files by fiscal year, including period of performance end dates).
Essential statistics
- 94,375 expiring contracts are marked as competed in the award record, worth $630.1 billion.
- That is 79.3% of the 119,072 contracts expiring within 12 months.
- Contracts without a recorded competition code are counted separately, not assumed to be sole source.
What this means
A competed original award is a strong signal the recompete will also be competed, which makes these contracts the realistic target list for challengers. The remainder lack a recorded competition code in the award data; that is a reporting gap, not proof of a sole source award, and we label it as unknown rather than guessing.
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