BidSparq Research · updated September 14, 2026

The Federal Contract Recompete Index

How much federal contract work is about to come up for grabs? We track every U.S. federal contract reaching the end of its current period of performance: the moment it becomes a recompete opportunity. New to the term? Start with what a recompete is and how the process works.

$575.7B
in federal contracts reach end-of-performance in the next 12 months
125,757
contracts expiring: 158,212 within 24 months
$143.7B
peaks in Q2 2027: the fiscal-year-end recompete cliff

The expiration timeline

Federal contract value reaching end-of-performance, by quarter.

$115.5B
Q3 2026
32,584 contracts
$130.8B
Q4 2026
34,413 contracts
$129.0B
Q1 2027
24,220 contracts
$143.7B
Q2 2027
18,202 contracts
$56.8B
Q3 2027
15,507 contracts

Top agencies

Expiring contract value by awarding agency (next 12 months).

  • Department of Energy$114.5B
    978 contracts
  • Department of the Army$63.9B
    10,365 contracts
  • Department of the Navy$54.5B
    11,691 contracts
  • Department of the Air Force$50.4B
    7,361 contracts
  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration$41.5B
    2,967 contracts
  • Department of Veterans Affairs$27.9B
    9,338 contracts
  • Federal Acquisition Service$20.1B
    4,060 contracts
  • Department of State$14.6B
    2,655 contracts
  • U.S. Customs and Border Protection$13.8B
    912 contracts
  • Agency for International Development$12.0B
    172 contracts
  • Federal Aviation Administration$10.3B
    2,482 contracts
  • Defense Logistics Agency$9.1B
    5,353 contracts

Top industries (NAICS)

Expiring contract value by industry code.

  • Facilities Support Services$117.0B
    3,902 contracts
  • Engineering Services$58.4B
    8,915 contracts
  • Commercial Building Construction$47.7B
    6,046 contracts
  • R&D in Nanotech/Biotech$43.6B
    6,193 contracts
  • Computer Systems Design Services$41.8B
    3,829 contracts
  • Other Computer Related Services$22.5B
    11,839 contracts
  • Admin Management Consulting$22.1B
    3,657 contracts
  • R&D in Physical/Engineering/Life Sciences$18.5B
    6 contracts
  • 234930$17.0B
    1 contracts
  • 541712$14.3B
    352 contracts
  • Custom Computer Programming$11.0B
    2,046 contracts
  • Other Professional/Scientific Svcs$10.7B
    2,646 contracts

Top incumbents

Vendors with the most expiring contract value: the recompete targets.

  • NATIONAL TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING SOLUTIONS OF SANDIA, LLC$41.7B
    1 contracts
  • LOS ALAMOS NATIONAL SECURITY LLC$27.4B
    1 contracts
  • LOCKHEED MARTIN SERVICES, LLC$20.8B
    7 contracts
  • BECHTEL NATIONAL, INC.$17.0B
    2 contracts
  • LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP$16.9B
    37 contracts
  • RAYTHEON COMPANY$12.6B
    264 contracts
  • CHEMONICS INTERNATIONAL, INC.$9.8B
    7 contracts
  • LEIDOS, INC.$8.8B
    1,138 contracts
  • NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION$8.1B
    312 contracts
  • BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC$8.1B
    274 contracts

Top states

Expiring contract value by place of performance.

  • VA$80.1B
    13,742 contracts
  • NM$71.3B
    1,145 contracts
  • DC$45.4B
    9,290 contracts
  • MD$44.0B
    8,909 contracts
  • CA$35.7B
    8,101 contracts
  • CO$30.3B
    2,561 contracts
  • TX$27.9B
    4,179 contracts
  • TN$25.7B
    926 contracts
  • WA$22.7B
    1,812 contracts
  • FL$19.2B
    3,553 contracts

See the recompetes in your industry

BidSparq tracks every expiring federal contract and surfaces the ones in your NAICS: with the incumbent, value, and predicted recompete window: before the RFP posts.

Find your recompete opportunities →

Methodology

Source: USAspending/FPDS federal contract data in BidSparq. 'Expiring' = current period-of-performance end date (the recompete trigger) within the window. Dollar figures sum total/obligated award value for the 124,926 of 125,757 expiring contracts with a disclosed amount. IDV parent records (GWACs, IDIQs, BPAs, schedules) are EXCLUDED from all figures: their amounts are vehicle ceilings, often shared across many holders, and summing them overstates the market by trillions. Expiring vehicles are tracked separately. Competed/sole-source split uses the FPDS extent-competed field. Some agencies (DOE, NASA) are concentrated in large R&D/M&O awards; see the agency table.

Of the 124,926 expiring contracts with a disclosed value, $567.1B (101,347 contracts) were competitively awarded: the most actionable recompete pool.

Verify this yourself

Every expiring contract in this index is a public record. Open the source, filter on period of performance end date, and check us.

Data as of September 14, 2026. © BidSparq. Cite as “BidSparq Federal Recompete Index.”

Key stats from this report

Each answered on its own page with the current figure, source, and sample size.

See our data in your Google results

This page updates weekly. Add BidSparq as a preferred source and Google will surface our fresh procurement data more prominently in your Search and AI results.

Add BidSparq as a preferred source on Google