BidSparq Research · updated June 8, 2026

The Federal Recompete Index

How much federal contract work is about to come up for grabs? We track every U.S. federal contract reaching the end of its current period of performance — the moment it becomes a recompete opportunity.

$353.7B
in federal contracts reach end-of-performance in the next 12 months
41,785
contracts expiring — 53,804 within 24 months
$193.5B
peaks in Q3 2026 — the fiscal-year-end recompete cliff

The expiration timeline

Federal contract value reaching end-of-performance, by quarter.

$24.6B
Q2 2026
4,938 contracts
$193.5B
Q3 2026
11,458 contracts
$29.6B
Q4 2026
3,724 contracts
$31.7B
Q1 2027
3,074 contracts
$74.4B
Q2 2027
2,158 contracts

Top agencies

Expiring contract value by awarding agency (next 12 months).

  • Department of Energy$113.2B
    238 contracts
  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration$61.1B
    344 contracts
  • Department of Veterans Affairs$32.4B
    1,503 contracts
  • Federal Acquisition Service$24.6B
    6,680 contracts
  • Department of State$16.6B
    508 contracts
  • Federal Aviation Administration$10.5B
    312 contracts
  • Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services$6.6B
    188 contracts
  • USTRANSCOM$5.5B
    10 contracts
  • Social Security Administration$5.4B
    114 contracts
  • Office of Procurement Operations$4.9B
    173 contracts
  • Public Buildings Service$3.9B
    655 contracts
  • Internal Revenue Service$2.9B
    187 contracts

Top industries (NAICS)

Expiring contract value by industry code.

  • Facilities Support Services$80.7B
    767 contracts
  • Computer Systems Design Services$50.2B
    2,011 contracts
  • R&D in Physical/Engineering/Life Sciences$33.7B
    3 contracts
  • Guided Missile & Space Vehicle Mfg$23.9B
    8 contracts
  • 234930$17.0B
    1 contracts
  • Engineering Services$16.9B
    652 contracts
  • Other Computer Related Services$13.5B
    1,310 contracts
  • R&D in Nanotech/Biotech$9.5B
    304 contracts
  • Custom Computer Programming$8.1B
    709 contracts
  • Commercial Building Construction$7.7B
    745 contracts
  • Admin Management Consulting$7.6B
    975 contracts
  • Other Professional/Scientific Svcs$6.0B
    149 contracts

Top incumbents

Vendors with the most expiring contract value — the recompete targets.

  • NATIONAL TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING SOLUTIONS OF SANDIA, LLC$41.7B
    1 contracts
  • SAVANNAH RIVER NUCLEAR SOLUTIONS LLC$26.4B
    1 contracts
  • THE BOEING COMPANY$22.4B
    5 contracts
  • VETERANS EZ INFO INC.$22.3B
    3 contracts
  • UCHICAGO ARGONNE, LLC$17.1B
    1 contracts
  • BECHTEL NATIONAL, INC.$17.0B
    1 contracts
  • LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP$16.3B
    3 contracts
  • UNITED PARCEL SERVICE CO.$5.3B
    13 contracts
  • LEIDOS, INC.$5.2B
    45 contracts
  • NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION$4.7B
    10 contracts

Top states

Expiring contract value by place of performance.

  • NM$42.1B
    37 contracts
  • SC$26.9B
    40 contracts
  • TX$26.8B
    143 contracts
  • VA$23.4B
    556 contracts
  • WA$19.0B
    48 contracts
  • CO$18.3B
    70 contracts
  • IL$17.6B
    42 contracts
  • DC$12.3B
    525 contracts
  • MD$9.3B
    364 contracts
  • CA$6.2B
    203 contracts

See the recompetes in your industry

BidSparq tracks every expiring federal contract and surfaces the ones in your NAICS — with the incumbent, value, and predicted recompete window — before the RFP posts.

Find your recompete opportunities →

Methodology

Source: USAspending/FPDS federal contract data in BidSparq. 'Expiring' = current period-of-performance end date (the recompete trigger) within the window. Dollar figures sum total/obligated award value for the 25,352 of 41,785 expiring contracts with a disclosed amount. Competed/sole-source split uses the FPDS extent-competed field. Some agencies (DOE, NASA) are concentrated in large R&D/M&O awards; see the agency table.

Of the 25,352 expiring contracts with a disclosed value, $323.8B (7,217 contracts) were competitively awarded — the most actionable recompete pool.

Data as of June 8, 2026. © BidSparq. Cite as “BidSparq Federal Recompete Index.”