BidSparq Research · updated July 20, 2026

The Federal Recompete Index

How much federal contract work is about to come up for grabs? We track every U.S. federal contract reaching the end of its current period of performance — the moment it becomes a recompete opportunity.

$661.2B
in federal contracts reach end-of-performance in the next 12 months
56,103
contracts expiring — 71,164 within 24 months
$230.8B
peaks in Q3 2026 — the fiscal-year-end recompete cliff

The expiration timeline

Federal contract value reaching end-of-performance, by quarter.

$230.8B
Q3 2026
21,905 contracts
$47.3B
Q4 2026
6,846 contracts
$41.7B
Q1 2027
4,587 contracts
$178.1B
Q2 2027
5,121 contracts
$163.3B
Q3 2027
643 contracts

Top agencies

Expiring contract value by awarding agency (next 12 months).

  • Federal Acquisition Service$183.3B
    5,257 contracts
  • Department of Energy$114.7B
    221 contracts
  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration$55.2B
    301 contracts
  • Department of the Army$40.3B
    402 contracts
  • Department of Veterans Affairs$32.1B
    1,462 contracts
  • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration$25.4B
    140 contracts
  • Environmental Protection Agency$24.2B
    167 contracts
  • Department of the Air Force$19.6B
    519 contracts
  • Defense Microelectronics Activity$17.5B
    4 contracts
  • Department of State$16.7B
    697 contracts
  • Federal Aviation Administration$10.3B
    279 contracts
  • Defense Logistics Agency$9.8B
    92 contracts

Top industries (NAICS)

Expiring contract value by industry code.

  • Facilities Support Services$243.3B
    1,530 contracts
  • 541712$63.6B
    44 contracts
  • Computer Systems Design Services$52.4B
    1,412 contracts
  • R&D in Physical/Engineering/Life Sciences$35.2B
    4 contracts
  • Engineering Services$34.4B
    1,085 contracts
  • Guided Missile & Space Vehicle Mfg$24.6B
    10 contracts
  • Admin Management Consulting$19.7B
    1,241 contracts
  • 234930$17.0B
    1 contracts
  • Other Computer Related Services$16.4B
    2,541 contracts
  • R&D in Nanotech/Biotech$10.6B
    387 contracts
  • 336413$8.7B
    42 contracts
  • Commercial Building Construction$8.3B
    1,022 contracts

Top incumbents

Vendors with the most expiring contract value — the recompete targets.

  • ACTION FACILITIES MANAGEMENT INC$54.0B
    13 contracts
  • NATIONAL TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING SOLUTIONS OF SANDIA, LLC$41.7B
    1 contracts
  • MAG DS CORP$37.4B
    1 contracts
  • NATIVE ENERGY & TECHNOLOGY INC$27.0B
    3 contracts
  • WILSON 5 SERVICE COMPANY, INC.$27.0B
    8 contracts
  • BROWN POINT FACILITY MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS, LLC$27.0B
    26 contracts
  • INSPECTION EXPERTS INC$27.0B
    3 contracts
  • SAVANNAH RIVER NUCLEAR SOLUTIONS LLC$26.4B
    1 contracts
  • THE BOEING COMPANY$22.7B
    9 contracts
  • VETERANS EZ INFO INC.$22.3B
    5 contracts

Top states

Expiring contract value by place of performance.

  • NM$42.0B
    30 contracts
  • SC$26.8B
    36 contracts
  • TX$26.3B
    115 contracts
  • VA$20.1B
    514 contracts
  • WA$19.0B
    44 contracts
  • CO$18.3B
    60 contracts
  • IL$17.6B
    35 contracts
  • DC$11.7B
    488 contracts
  • MD$8.5B
    335 contracts
  • CA$5.3B
    186 contracts

See the recompetes in your industry

BidSparq tracks every expiring federal contract and surfaces the ones in your NAICS — with the incumbent, value, and predicted recompete window — before the RFP posts.

Find your recompete opportunities →

Methodology

Source: USAspending/FPDS federal contract data in BidSparq. 'Expiring' = current period-of-performance end date (the recompete trigger) within the window. Dollar figures sum total/obligated award value for the 39,102 of 56,103 expiring contracts with a disclosed amount. Competed/sole-source split uses the FPDS extent-competed field. Some agencies (DOE, NASA) are concentrated in large R&D/M&O awards; see the agency table.

Of the 39,102 expiring contracts with a disclosed value, $607.8B (6,493 contracts) were competitively awarded — the most actionable recompete pool.

Data as of July 20, 2026. © BidSparq. Cite as “BidSparq Federal Recompete Index.”