How many federal contracts expire in the next 12 months?
119,072 federal contracts reach their end of performance in the 12 months from 2026-10-05, worth $640.0 billion in known contract value.
Source: The Federal Contract Recompete Index, BidSparq
Data as of: October 5, 2026 (refreshed weekly)
Sample: 119,072 expiring federal contracts
License: free to cite with attribution to BidSparq
Verify this yourself: USAspending.gov award data archive (the full federal contract award files by fiscal year, including period of performance end dates).
Essential statistics
- 119,072 federal contracts expire within 12 months of 2026-10-05.
- Their combined known value is $640.0 billion, across the 117,794 contracts that report a dollar amount.
- Looking 24 months out, 149,279 contracts reach end of performance.
- The single busiest quarter is Q3 2027, with 29,168 contracts worth $225.0 billion expiring.
What this means
Every expiring contract is a recompete opportunity: the incumbent must win the work again, and challengers get their one predictable opening. Agencies typically begin market research 6 to 18 months before a contract ends, so the window to influence a recompete opens well before the solicitation posts.
These figures exclude umbrella IDV vehicles so that shared ceilings are never counted as obligated dollars. The count and value cover definitive contracts and orders with a stated period of performance end date.
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